
Cassel and the Chiefs offense might be worth noticing in 2009 (Getty Images)
The key to staying on top of fantasy football is to keep track of the players each year. I know this sounds like an obvious statement, but you’d be surprised how many drafts I’ve been a part of where I’ve caught someone staring in confusion at their cheat sheet asking “Since when did he join the (team name)?!”
Keeping tabs on where lineman go in free agency is one of the best early pieces of fantasy advice I can give you. Good offensive lines make good fantasy players, plain and simple.
Example: Twice in the past 3 years I’ve been rewarded for following this plan: in 2006, when LG Steve Hutchinson went to Minnesota, I made sure to pick up Chester Taylor as a backup. The former backup Raven went on to run for 1,216 yds that season and chalked up 6 TDs. In 2008, when the Jets signed LG Alan Faneca, Thomas Jones shot up my draft board. Jones went from a statline of 1,119 rushing yds and 1 TD, to 1,312 rushing yds and 13 TDS.
Another more apparent precursor to fantasy stock improvement is to watch where the wide receivers go. A wide receiver’s fantasy value is so dependent on quarterback play that you need to be aware of the quarterback’s skill level before moving someone up on the fantasy draft board. When Randy moss goes to the Raiders, Randy’s stock drops. But when Randy goes to the Patriots, Randy’s stock explodes. The greatest wide reciever in the world will do nothing for you in fantasy if he’s got an Andrew Walter throwing to him.
This year’s free agency has seen some a number of different player’s stock rise dramatically. Today we’ll take a look at the top three quarterbacks whose fantasy value has increased the most so far through free agency.
1. Matt Cassel
Matt Cassel was a great story to watch in 2008. Until last season, Cassel hadn’t lined up in a regular season football game since his senior year in high school. When Tom Brady went down in week one with a season-ending knee injury, Cassel was called upon to fill some of the biggest shoes in the NFL. Over the next 15 games we watched as he went from a nervous, young fill-in at QB to a calmer, more poised signal-caller and a legitimate passing threat.
Cassel finished the 2008 season with 3,693 passing yards and 21 TDs. That performance ranked him among the top 10 fantasy quarterbacks (using ESPN.com’s standard scoring rules) of last year, tied with Donovan McNabb with 235 points. That’s only 20 points less than 2008 NFL MVP Peyton Manning put up.
Cassel had turned himself into a hot commodity for every team in need of a quarterback, and with weeks of free agency’s commencement, he had himself a fat new contract and a brand new home with the Kansas City Chiefs. This move puts Cassel in place to pick up almost right where he left off last season, as long as the Chiefs can protect him. He’ll have Tony Gonzales and Dwayne Bowe to replace the Randy Moss/ Wes Welker duo, and all offseason to train with them. While I don’t plan on Cassel challenging Brees or Brady for the top fantasy QB spot next season I project Cassel to be a starter-worthy fantasy player. If you prefer to hold off on QBs until the middle rounds of your draft, Cassel should still be there and could end up being a steal.
2. Matt Hasselbeck

Hasselbeck's early birthday present.
This past season I drafted Hasselbeck in the fifth round, thinking he’d be a serviceable starting quarterback with definite potential to put up some good fantasy numbers. Unfortunately, Hasselbeck was injured early in the season and I never used him. So because last season was basically a wash, I’m going off of his 2007 season–when he passed for 3,966 yards and 28 TDs. That season he was throwing mainly to Nate Burleson, Deion Branch, and Bobby Engram. That’s not a terrible set of wide receivers, but it’s not exactly mind-blowing either.
This past season, however, we saw the emergence of rookie tight end John Carlson, who led the team in recieving yards (627) and receiving TDs (5). Now say we added a full offseason to work on his timing with Hasselbeck. At this point you’re looking at a pretty solid passing game between Branch and Carlson alone. It’s not like you’d need to add another pro-bowl wide receiver to the mix, right?
Enter T.J. Houshmandzadeh, another pro-bowl wide reciever. If you’re seeing what I’m seeing, then Matt Hasselbeck could put up some serious numbers next season if he stays healthy. I would suggest pulling the trigger on this guy way earlier than he’ll be projected. You wont be dissappointed.
3. Trent Edwards
Trent Edwards was an enigma at best last season, since I could never really put my finger on him. He seemed to be a decent start at the beginning of the season, averaging close to 12 fantasy points per game. Then, after his mid-season injury, Edwards’ fantasy production took a drastic turn for the worse. Excluding his one 33 point outburst (which by that point no one in their right mind would have been starting him) in week 12, Edwards’ average dropped from 11.8 to 7 fantasy points per game.

- T.O.’s fake smile looks about as excited as Bryant Gumbel sounded on Thursday Night Football (AP Photo/James P. McCoy).
So what do we take from this? Nothing, I’d say. Young quarterbacks have chaotic seasons sometimes. Cassel had his growing pains, and I think that was Edwards’ main issue this season. You also have to factor in the talent he was throwing to. Aside from Lee Evans, his options weren’t exactly awe-inspiring.
Now a guy like Terrel Owens could be awe-inspiring. A guy like that could make Edwards look a lot better than he did last year. Look at how well McNabb did the first season he had Owens (went from 3,216 passing yds. and 16 TDs, to 3,875 yds and 31 TDs). Look at Romo in Dallas (4,211 passing yds and 36 TDs in his first full season with T.O.). History shows that QB production increases significantly during T.O.’s first season with a team.
Edwards needs to do his best to make sure that the Trent Edwards that averaged 7 points a game doesn’t show up next season. If the Trent Edwards that averaged 11.8 points a game returns for a full 2009 season, the Bills could have themselves an extremely potent offense capable of challenging a re-vamped AFC East division. If he can keep his mouth shut (which he has done historically in his first season with teams) it will help Edwards’ production even more.
On draft day, he’ll be just a bit lower than Matt Cassel on my board. I’d snag him as a backup with loads of potential, especially if your starting QB has an early season bye-week. With all of the pedestrian-bumping, gun-toting shenanigans running back Marshawn Lynch has been getting himself into, he’s bound to face a suspension of sorts in the beginning of the season. With Lynch out and nary an equitable back-up, Edwards will be thowing…alot.